By Zak Vescera, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter THE TYEE

The B.C. dockworkers乌鸦传媒� union wants the federal government to block the $3.5-billion Roberts Bank container port project to protect members乌鸦传媒� jobs.

The International Longshore and Warehouse Union says the port expansion will introduce technology and automation and set the stage for job losses at other West Coast ports.

The union wrote a letter to the federal cabinet last week urging it to reject the Roberts Bank Terminal 2. The controversial project would transform more than 1.7 square kilometres of subtidal and tidal waters into a container port capable of handling 260 ships and more than 2.4 million containers a year. It would be connected to the current Deltaport terminal just north of the Tsawwassen BC Ferries terminal.

In the open letter, ILWU Canada president Rob Ashton said he shared concerns with environmental groups on how the project乌鸦传媒檚 environmental impact would harm fish and seabirds.

But he also worries the new terminal would replace workers with machines.

The Port of Vancouver, proposing the project, is a federal government agency. It says decisions on automation would be left to the private company selected to operate the new port.

But Ashton believes the new port could bring a level of automation that would force competing container ports to also automate their operations.

乌鸦传媒淚t乌鸦传媒檚 going to force the rest of the terminals to automate faster than they were doing it otherwise. That乌鸦传媒檚 what we want the Canadian government to understand,乌鸦传媒� Ashton said. 乌鸦传媒淭his is going to destroy a lot of people乌鸦传媒檚 livelihoods.乌鸦传媒�

The port has described Roberts Bank Terminal 2 as 乌鸦传媒渟emi-automated,乌鸦传媒� just like the two other major private container ports in B.C. Those are Deltaport, operated by Global Container Terminals, and DP World乌鸦传媒檚 Fairview Container Terminal in Prince Rupert.

A number of jobs 乌鸦传媒� like gantry crane operation 乌鸦传媒� would still be done by humans.

In an August presentation, the port said it was making the decision to limit automation 乌鸦传媒渄espite the trend towards greater container port automation over the last two decades乌鸦传媒� 乌鸦传媒� something the ILWU has resisted.

But the presentation says some automation decisions would be left up to the private company that eventually runs the port.

Port authority spokesperson Alex Munro said in an email that 乌鸦传媒渟emi-automated terminals are becoming increasingly common in OECD countries like Canada.乌鸦传媒�

乌鸦传媒淚n line with most large, recently constructed container terminals, the proposed Roberts Bank Terminal 2 Project is expected to include some automation,乌鸦传媒� Munro wrote.乌鸦传媒漈he level of automation is subject to final terminal configuration, which would be determined by the terminal operator.乌鸦传媒�

But Ashton fears the result will be lost jobs.

乌鸦传媒淭heir version of semi-automated and my version of semi-automated must be completely different 乌鸦传媒� in different realms, in different galaxies,乌鸦传媒� he said.

Ashton乌鸦传媒檚 letter to federal ministers comes weeks before a final decision on the decade-long project is expected from the federal Impact Assessment Agency, charged with 乌鸦传媒渄elivering high-quality impact assessments that look at both positive and negative environmental, economic, social and health impacts of potential projects.乌鸦传媒�

Stephane Perrault, a spokesman for that agency, said the legislated deadline for a decision is April 29.

Ashton said he expects it will come before that date.

If approved, the port says construction could be completed within six years.

The authority, a federal agency, says the project is vital to accommodate growing Pacific trade, which it believes will outstrip capacity at existing container ports.

In 2021, the authority says Vancouver乌鸦传媒檚 ports processed a total of 3.7 million 乌鸦传媒淭EUs,乌鸦传媒� a measurement unit equivalent to one 20-foot-long container box.

But by 2040, the authority and its consultants estimate the region乌鸦传媒檚 ports will need to handle between six million and 9.8 million TEUs, depending on how quickly trade with Asian markets grows. The authority says failing to build the port will cripple the supply chain and force more of that commerce to flow through competing ports in the U.S.

The port authority says the expanded port could support thousands of jobs across the supply chain.

Munro said the development would support 850 乌鸦传媒渄irect long-term乌鸦传媒� jobs at the terminal itself. The authority believes the downstream effects of the port would create more than 17,000 jobs in the economy as a whole.

But the project has faced opposition from some environmental groups, local governments and now the ILWU, who have long feared robots could claim their members乌鸦传媒� jobs.

In 2019, a lockout at the docks ended in a five-year collective agreement that, among other things, guaranteed the ILWU membership on a committee to discuss further automation projects. ILWU Canada commissioned a report that year, arguing that pursuing automation in British Columbia乌鸦传媒檚 ports could cost thousands of jobs on the docks.

Ashton says the ILWU is instead backing two different container port expansion proposals.

Deltaport, the operating name of Global Container Terminals Ltd., is awaiting a federal decision on whether it can build a fourth berth at its existing container port on Roberts Bank. And DP World, which operates the Fairview Container Terminal in Prince Rupert, has applied to expand that worksite to increase its capacity.

The difference, Ashton said, is that those operators have made assurances to dockworkers their jobs won乌鸦传媒檛 be affected.

乌鸦传媒淭hey乌鸦传媒檝e actually put levels of automation in, but they brought us along with them. They heard our concerns, we乌鸦传媒檝e made adjustments and we乌鸦传媒檝e protected jobs,乌鸦传媒� he said.

乌鸦传媒淎 real friction point in these conversions is always what this will mean for existing jobs,乌鸦传媒� said Sunil Johal, a University of Toronto professor studying automation. Some argue robots could take over dangerous or time-consuming repetitive tasks, which might make the worksite more efficient and ultimately generate more jobs. Others, though, argue robots will simply replace workers.

乌鸦传媒淭hat benefit-cost calculus is particularly stark in an area like a port,乌鸦传媒� Johal said, because of the downstream effects its operations have on sectors that depend on those goods.

Ports across the world have automated a growing number of jobs in recent years, including the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach in California.

乌鸦传媒淚t seems that the trend, especially with new ports and new facilities, those are much more likely to be automated or semi-automated,乌鸦传媒� Johal said. 乌鸦传媒淚 think it乌鸦传媒檚 a fair assumption that as the ports that Vancouver engages with automate and digitize their operations, there乌鸦传媒檚 going to be more pressure on Vancouver and Canadian ports to do the same.乌鸦传媒�

But there has also been debate on whether automating ports is even worth it. A study released by the Center for Innovation in Transport in Spain, which was commissioned by unions representing dockworkers, argued there were no productivity improvements brought by automation.

A 2018 study from the consulting firm McKinsey & Co. found automated ports were safer, but also found productivity actually decreased, and that automation required significant upfront capital investment.

乌鸦传媒淭here have not been as many productivity gains from automating ports as was first thought, at least in the past several years,乌鸦传媒� Johal said. He suspects that if the expansion goes ahead, a private operator will think carefully about how much they want to spend on automation.

乌鸦传媒淏efore they start making multibillion-dollar investments, they乌鸦传媒檙e going to take a hard look at it,乌鸦传媒� he said.